2009 NFL Season: Week 10 Pick (Thursday Edition)

It is officially “on.”  We have passed the half-way point of the season.  National sportswriters, desperate for an angle, have begun to pass out “Midway Medals” and “Halfway Honors” to players they cover every week, and the opponents they love to hate.

Tonight, I like the 49ers to win a tight contest.  I’ve picked the Niners on the road vs. the Texans and at home vs. the Titans.  They lost both games.  In between those winnable games was a hard fought loss to the Indianapolis Colts.  Now that the 49ers have definitively proven they would be the “weak sister” of the AFC South, its on to small fish in the NFC.

"Devin, let me hold that for you!"

Aside from desperately needing to win this game, the Bears and 49ers can also commiserate over a pair of embarassing 45-10 losses.   The Falcons beat San Francisco by that score in Week 5.  The Bengals blasted the Bears in Week 7.

I know the college interns have been pouring over databases all week looking for the last time two teams played one another in the same season they lost by that score, by that margin, on a Thursday night, in prime time, with playoff hopes hanging in the balance, with two Black head coaches, with highly-touted quarterbacks who have not quite fit in with the team that drafted them, and, last but not least, with axes to grind against the Minnesota Vikings.  This is certainly going to an epic matchup.

It could go one of  three ways:

  1. San Francisco 45, Chicago 10.
  2. Chicago 45, San Francisco 10.
  3. San Francisco 10, Chicago 10.

There simply isn’t enough time to wait for both of these teams to score 45 points.

I’ll take option 1.  The Niners get it together at home and the world is introduced to Alex Smith for the first time and Vernon Davis, for the second time.


  1. I was listening to Deion Sanders on NFL Network pre-game talking about Jay Cutler. He basically said that Cutler is struggling because he’s not as good as people are trying to make him out to be.

    Man, you gotta love how Deion keeps it real and tell it like it is. 🙂

  2. GN –

    I think Cutler’s performance made Bear’s fans have flashbacks to Rex Grossman! And he really isn’t as good as folks made him out to be. He has a lot of INT’s that just make you go, WTF?!?!?!

  3. I don’t think Cutler’s a bum. Full disclosure: I haven’t seen last night’s game yet. I think he does have the same issue that he had last season — and its arguably the same issue as Rex Grossman: that he can make any throw against anyone at any time.

    Last year, the Broncos were 2nd in yards and 16th in points. Of course, they are considerably worse on offense this year. (Defense jumped from 29th to 3rd.) I thought a great deal of that disparity was due to Cutler throwing picks in the Red Zone. Turns out that he threw 13 picks in his own territory — and managed 17 TD passes vs. 4 picks in the Red Zone. This year, he has 11 picks in his opponents territory. That’s killing the team.

    Cutler has nearly matched his INT total from last year. He is not playing with the same quality of wide receiver and the offensive line is not as dominant. Still, the INTs seem to stem from the same root cause: hubris. He going to have to reel it in and take what the defense gives him.

  4. T3,

    I don’t think he’s a bum either. I just don’t think he’s as good as sports analysts and certain radio personalities are hyping him up to be. He’s definitely not as good as Aaron Rodgers. He’s definitely missing Brandon Marshall, no question about it.

    On a side note…..Cutler may have better numbers than Vince Young but VY has a better record as a starter and has led his team to the playoffs. After last night, Cutler is 25-29 as a starter in his career. VY is currently 20-11. It’s all about the “W”s. 🙂

  5. Going back to 2007, Cutler’s offenses have been ranked 11th, 2nd and 9th. Cutler’s defenses have been ranked 19th, 29th and 20th.

    Vince’s defenses have ranked 5th, 7th, and 31st (this season). His offenses have ranked 21st, 21st and 20th.

    Frankly, if anyone deserves credit for the Titans making the post-season it is Keith Bullock. That line of argument works best when the QBs play in similar systems, supported by similar defenses. That’s not the case here.

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